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Could an Oracle help solve the Chandra case?

 
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
Posts: 2136
Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Thu Feb 09, 2006 4:05 pm    Post subject: Could an Oracle help solve the Chandra case? Reply with quote

I have not been posting much here lately, but yesterday I tried something a little different. I wrote a letter to an Oracle who wrote an article about Chandra Levy in 2001. I am not exactly certain what an Oracle is, but I don't think he is a Psychic, which may alert some here, and to me he seems more just like a Christian preacher who likes to get into prophecy.

Anyway I sent him an email, and will probably never get a reply. It may take someone like Hal Lindsey to really start the Chandra Levy investigation going again. I used to see Lindsey on tv but have not seen him for a while. Therefore I was surprised when I put the phrase "he explained it all" into Google and Lindseys article about Chandra came up. Now I can't find the article again, there were too many hits, but I will put Lindsey's website url here.

http://www.hallindseyoracle.com/

His article was on a worldnet website. I do not even know if there is a worldnet website anymore, or at least the same site where I used to have my email address.

It would be nice if an Oracle like Hal Lindsey could turn into a reverse Geragos. Geragos was pretty good at figuring out some of the supernatural stuff, like when Chandra would be found.. I am going to keep looking at Hal Lindsey. It might take someone like him to solve the Chandra Levy case.

Kate, or someone here, you might be interested in this guy.

benn
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laskipper



Joined: 17 Sep 2002
Posts: 1232
Location: Northern Ohio

PostPosted: Thu Feb 09, 2006 8:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good to see your post, Benn and I'm glad you're still working hard for the cause.

Hal Lindsey. I recall reading his material about Chandra years back. I'll see if I can locate it for you.

As to Geragos, I don't think it had to do with his supernatual abilities that they found Chandra's body in the time frame that he predicted.

I'll check out the 'Oracle'. Sounds interesting.

ls
_________________
A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves
~
French philosopher Bertrand de Jouvenel (1903-1987)


Last edited by laskipper on Fri Feb 10, 2006 7:17 am; edited 1 time in total
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
Posts: 2136
Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Fri Feb 10, 2006 1:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello ls, there is enough talent somewhere to solve this case, but there seems to be a lack of enthusiasm. That is the reason that I try to keep adding new little twists here, maybe something that is said will say "bingo" to someone.

I was impressed by the number of hits that there were for "he explained it all." I think I will go back and look at some more of those. Of course not all of the "he explained" statements are about Chandra.

We need another man with a dog to go turttle hunting. Should we ask for a prediction by Geragos?

benn
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
Posts: 2136
Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Fri Feb 10, 2006 4:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

HOW TO CATCH A GOPHER., or a perpetuator.

This is part one of two messages defining one way to catch a gopher, and using a similar system one possible way to catch a perpetuator. I will try to make each message as brief as possible.

About 25 years ago someone asked me if I knew how to catch a gopher. I did not know how to catch one, and neither did he, his yard had a gopher in it which he was continually trying to catch. Some years after he had moved away I had a yard myself with gophers in it. After a few unsucessful tries I knew how to catch a gopher.

A small manufacturing company in my area had designed and was building a gopher trap, that caught gophers. It was green, and it looked like a box over the top of a large rat trap. One end of the box was open and it could be put over the end of gopher's hole. Then dirt was put around the area where the trap and the gopher's hole came together, so that no air could come in. Setting the trap was as simple as pushing a lever down on the outside, which set the trap leaving it ready to catch a gopher. After the gopher trap was in place over a new gopher hole you just waited to catch the gopher.

I usually could catch a gopher overnight, and one day I even caught a gopher the same day that I set the trap.

Why were the gopher's getting caught in the trap? They were getting caught because they were trying to keep air from coming into their tunnel system. Evidently gophers do not like any air to come into their tunnels. Where was the air coming from? Well the air was coming from the trap, of course. The trap was there to catch a gopher. At the far end of the trap, away from where the trap and the gopher's hole were connected, was a strip of metal along the top of the trap. This strip of metal was in the open air. In the strip of metal was a hole that let air into the gopher's hole. The gopher came to investigate and was caught in the upside down rat trap inside.

That is how to catch a gopher, and in my next message I will try to see if I can connect catching a gopher up with catching a perpetuator, the person who murdered Chandra Levy. I am afraid that I really do not have all the parts together for the trap to catch a perpetuator, but I will see if I can begin to construct the trap, or how the perpetuator may have been caught in his own trap.

benn
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
Posts: 2136
Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Fri Feb 10, 2006 1:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, I will try to keep this short again, and then everyone can play with their own who dunits.

There are different ways of looking at the gopher trap that I have described. I will post a version, not necessarily the best version, but it helps to put things into perspective. Maybe I will post two versions, one of which opposes the other.

I think that Chandra was a person emanating fresh air into someone's tunnel system. The person, group, Federal agency, or some other kind of a clique had to stop the fresh air from coming into their tunnel system, and thus Chandra was murdered. The problem then is who was receiving the fresh air, and who felt threatened by Chandra's presense. It is very unlikely that a Federal Agency would murder anyone. to silence them. That would be too complex of a problem and too unthinkble. So we can eliminate one possible suspect. That leaves some kind of group, or one person, who had to stop Chndra's fresh air from coming into their tunnel system.

That is one point of view. The other point of view is who had a tunnel system that Chndra was sending fresh air into? Who would have a tunnel system? The gopher, the murderer, or murderers, had to stop their tunnel system from being attacked by fresh air. So maybe someone will come up with some new ideas, and how to prove those ideas. We can keep hoping.

benn
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
Posts: 2136
Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 4:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The world is getting stranger and stranger. Here is a website I ran across.

http://www.crimescene.com/board/index.php?act=SF&f=45&st=

benn
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
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Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 1:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If I am going to start a reference list for solving problems I may as well continue.

Here is a well thought out site for thinking out problems, maybe thinking out crimes.

http://www.une.edu.au/psychology/staff/malouff/problem.htm

There are not many ways to solve a crime by quitting.

benn
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benn



Joined: 19 Sep 2002
Posts: 2136
Location: Sacramento, CA

PostPosted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 1:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Some more reference work on Crime. This one from New York City.

http://www.gothamgazette.com/crime/jan.02.shtml

(fair use)
Crime/Police
Internet resources for what you need to know about NYC Crime and Police
Five Favorite Sites For Beginners

The Topic
"Crime/Justice" refers to relationships among criminal activity, the police, the courts and community life.
The Context
The decline in the NYC crime rate may be the greatest story of the decade. But in the wake of the police torture of Abner Louima and the police shooting of Amadou Diallo, the practices of the New York Police Department have come under scrutiny. Accusations of racial bias, abuse of power and infringement on civil liberties abound. What is the balance between civil liberty and civil order? Who decides?
The Reporter
Julia Vitullo-Martin, a long-time editor and writer on urban affairs, is the former director of the Citizens Jury Project at the Vera Institute of Justice. She is now writing a book entitled The Conscience of the American Jury.
The Archives
See past monthly updates for Crime and Justice.

by Julia Vitullo-Martin

Crime Still Declines, But Why, And Will It Continue? In 1993 Mayor Giuliani's first police commissioner, William Bratton, announced their determination to take back the city: "We will fight for every street. We will fight for every borough." They fought and they won. Having last month hammered down temporary crime spikes one final time, Mayor Giuliani left office triumphantly on January 1, saluting his people like an exiting Roman general.

His parting gifts included yet another record decrease in violent crime--down 12.4 percent through mid-December 2001 from last year. All categories (murder, rape, robbery, felony assault, burglary, grand larceny, and auto theft) declined, ranging from fie percent for murder to 16 percent for auto theft. In mid-December, the city had recorded 617 murders, compared with 651 through mid-December last year, and 672 for all of 2000. And despite several notorious killings, 2001 is expected to set yet another record low in police shootings of civilians.

MAYOR GLOATS

In his farewell speech, Mayor Giuliani took a moment to refute the conclusions of a March 4, 2000, New York Times story that heralded Boston's and San Diego's police strategies as "national models" for combining the crime reductions of New York with the community involvement that was lacking here. Many police chiefs and criminologists, said the Times, felt "a sense of sadness that a great opportunity has been squandered" here.

Over the last six months, said Giuliani, crime jumped 3.9 percent in San Diego while declining 7.6 percent in New York; the murder rate increased 67 percent in Boston while dropping 12 percent here. Overall Boston has 82 percent more crime and San Diego 16 percent than New York, the mayor calculated. "Which policing policy would you want to follow?" he asked. Or as the New York Post said, "It would be a crime not to gloat a little."

DO POLICE MATTER?

Exactly why so many people have stopped committing crimes remains a matter of contentious dispute, say George L. Kelling, Senior Fellow at The Manhattan Institute for Policy Research and William H. Sousa, Jr., Director of Evaluation, Police Institute, Rutgers University. In a recently released report, "Do Police Matter? An Analysis of the Impact of New York City's Police Reforms," Kelling and Sousa argue that there has been no systematic attempt to statistically parse out the relative contributions of police actions, the economy, demographics, and changing drug use patterns on crime. This they set out to do.

By measuring crime trends in individual precincts, they conclude that the decline in violent crime correlates with arrests for misdemeanors--and that for every 28 misdemeanor arrests, the city had a decline of one violent crime. In other words, they conclude that what's called "broken windows" policing--the strategy of policing minor disorderly behavior like graffiti or fare beating in the subways--is strongly associated with the decline in violent crime. They also argue that at least on a precinct-by-precinct basis there is no association with the major competing explanations for crime reduction, such as the improved economy and labor market that created opportunities for youths previously tempted by drug dealing, the declining use of crack cocaine, the changing values of at-risk youth, and the increased legitimacy of social institutions such as the family.

While commending broken windows policing, Kelling and Sousa argue that an overlooked key to New York's crime reduction rests in a specific problem-solving strategy: accurate and timely intelligence, rapid deployment, effective tactics, and relentless follow-up and assessment. Precinct commanding officers are able to address and correct current crime problems immediately by combining timely analysis with proven and innovative crime-reduction techniques, including the ability to deploy patrol, detective, and specialized precinct units for crime control, rather than having to rely on centralized special units.

BUT PROBLEMS REMAIN

Still, the new police commissioner, Ray Kelly, has his work cut out for him. As George Kelling says, "The big drops--15 percent and more--have taken place. Now we're working on the margins."

And that's not all. Despite its many achievements, the Giuliani administration has left minefields for the Bloomberg administration.

Right before Christmas Commissioner Bernard Kerik announced 227 last-minute and generous promotions in the police department. Not only do the promotions entail immediate budgetary implications, they increase the likelihood of expensive retirements since police pensions are based on the last year's salary.

Meanwhile, an organization called 100 Blacks in Law Enforcement Who Care, representing black police officers, announced it was suing the city, saying the Police Department had secretly and illegally monitored its political activities by reviewing telephone records and following members in order to intimidate officers who had been critical of the department.

A Giuliani-appointed commission, the Commission to Combat Police Corruption, found that increasing numbers of rookie cops have faced disciplinary problems. Disproportionate numbers have also been flunking out of the Police Academy--the failure rate of the September 2000 class was twice that of the 1997 class. The cause of both problems may be lower recruiting standards.

Kelling, for one, is hopeful, however. He makes three points about the future. First, if Giuliani is right--and Kelling thinks he is--he has shown that crime reduction doesn't have to be held hostage to economic change or, indeed, any holistic societal reform.

Second, in his first term as police commissioner Ray Kelly devised the plan for dealing with squeegee men that subsequently became the cornerstone of the Giuliani-Bratton assault on quality-of-life offenses. "There's every reason to assume," says Kelling, "that we're going to be fortunate in having Kelly. He will maintain, even intensify, the quality-of-life campaign."

Third, the critical policing problem is going to be balancing vigilance against terrorism with the needs of street policing. But even here Kelling is hopeful, arguing that under Commissioner Kerik the police department had started developing good relationships with neighborhoods and communities. "The same vigilance we're going to need in the frontline battle against terrorism," says Kelling, "is the vigilance that helps the police become aware of bad things happening in neighborhoods." In other words, the collaboration with neighborhoods will be crucial both to the war on crime and the war against terrorism.

And since Ray Kelly made his reputation the first time round by working well with neighborhoods, Bloomberg probably has the right man for the job.

Five Sites For Beginners:

* New York Police Department - Hoaky design but good substance, particularly the feature that allows you to check out your own neighborhood. The department has begun posting crime figures for each of the city's 76 police precincts on both its own and City Hall's official websites. The commissioner hopes to post precinct maps showing where crimes have recently been committed by the end of March. One drawback: the only official you can email is the commissioner. Still, that's better than nothing--if the commissioner reads and answers his email. Let us know what happens when you try.
* Federal Bureau of Investigation, Unit for Crime Reports - The FBI's uniform crime reports are the nation's most useful tracking system for both violent crimes (murder and non-negligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) and property crimes (burglary, larceny and theft, car theft, and arson.) In December, the FBI released the good news that the national Crime Index, composed of both violent and property crimes, had decreased by 0.3 percent during the first six months of 2000 when compared to figures from the first six months of 1999.
* Vera Institute of Justice - Vera is a nonprofit organization, founded in 1961, that works collabortively with government officials to develop innovative approaches to problems and to improve the quality of urban life both here and abroad. It is currently working with both the New York City and New York State police departments to strengthen police accountability through civilian complaint review, community policing, and computerized management systems. A study called "Respectful and Effective Policing," which Vera released in March 1999, examined two Bronx police precincts where commanders, counter to trends in most of the city, had reduced civilian complaints about police conduct while still sharing the city's success in reducing crime.

Other Recommendations:

* Mothers Against Drunk Driving - Long on policy positions and recommendations, short on data. If you want data, go immediately to the bottom of the home page and click on statistics, which will yield four drop-down windows: general statistics, fatalities, statistics by youth, statistics by race. Fairly cumbersome to get local and state data but can be done.
* Families Against Mandatory Minimums - With the slogan "Let the punishment fit the crime," this national organization of citizens uses an effective combination of hard data and individual stories and photographs to argue for the abolition of state and federal mandatory sentencing laws. Its frequently updated "Latest News" section offers a concise, efficient way to learn about and track the issues of mandatory sentencing.
* Community Justice Exchange - works to being together citizens and the criminal justice system to solve neighborhood problems. Their site is austere but well-organized. It provides information and asisstance to comunity justice planners across the country, and carries a useful section on Best Practices that includes project profiles, problem-solving strategies, and a recommended reading list. It works as a pretty good do-it-yourself course on effective community activism.

Visit the Topic Archives!


This website is brought to you by Citizens Union Foundation. It was made possible by a grant from the Charles Revson Foundation, and receives support from the Rockefeller Foundation, the New York Times Foundation, the Robert Sterling Clark Foundation, the Altman Foundation, and viewers like you. Please consider making a tax-deductible contribution.
END OF QUOTE.

benn
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